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Part of Beyond Meats strategy is to redefine what the best source of protein is. We are providing energy for the body and we can pull it from a lot of different places. It represents what we feel is the first product that mainstream omnivores are willing to seek out and put at the center of their plate.. Its an era of growth for the still young start-up. Heres a quick summary for noise traders when analyzing BYND: Executive Compensation Adds Additional Risk. Investors should note that maximizing customer acquisition through the retail channel will probably crimp the company's admirable growth rate, as future promotions and new iterations of discounted value packs will reduce the amount of recorded sales (net revenue), as we've discussed above. Option grants and RSUs directly align executives interests with the price of the companys shares and not necessarily with creating shareholder value. When grocery stores resisted this in the beginning Beyond Meat declined to place its product in those stores and decided to wait until a grocery store embraced its vision. The organizational goals have to be settled and explained. For example. In the first scenario, the estimated revenue growth rate is 61% in year one, 55% in year two, and 47% in year three, or equal to consensus. According to the Partners In Leadership Happiness at Work survey, when employees are happier at work, 85% take more initiative. In order to get ahead of the competition, never stop innovating. In the second quarter, U.S. retail sales (mostly through grocery channels) almost tripled to $90 million, while foodservice sales in the U.S. plunged by 61% to $6.5 million. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. Attracted by Beyond Meats impressive growth rates and soaring market value, multiple competitors are entering the alternative meat industry. This competitive disadvantage only makes Beyond Meats path to sustainable profitability that much more difficult. Beyond Meat Stock: A Competitive Analysis | Nasdaq Asit Sharma has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Instead, it avoids labelling its products as vegan even though they are. When vegan meat alternatives first started to appear on the market, many people saw them as a fad. Figure 1: Consensus Revenue Growth Estimates: 2020-2025, 2020-2025 revenue growth rates based on consensus estimates, Competition is Plentiful and Has Competitive Advantages. First, investors need to know that Beyond Meat has a large liability that makes it more expensive than the accounting numbers would initially suggest. Each of the above scenarios also assumes Beyond Meat is able to grow revenue, NOPAT, and FCF without increasing working capital or fixed assets. 1. Founder and Tech Inventor at Princess Technologies. So, when leaders take time and money to connect their employees sense of purpose to the firms organizational goals, it is the beginning of a virtuous circle, where employees tend to be happier and more productive, enabling better results for the company. This additional expense, one that is much lower for many competitors (as they already have profitable business lines to offset any marketing of new products), makes it even more difficult for Beyond Meat to improve its profitability in such a competitive market. Though their first product received positive reviews from some celebrities and PETA named Beyond Meat their 2013 Company of the Year, journalists who actually tasted the chicken reported that the "likeness to real chicken was tolerable, at best". By 2015, even Walmart was selling Beyond Meats plant-based products! And while their Chicken-Free Strips were sold at big-name stores like Whole Foods all across the US, they were later discontinued in 2019. Plant-based meat alternatives are on the rise and not just with vegans. Apart fromtotal debtwhich includes the operating leases noted above, the most notable adjustment to shareholder value was $572 million inoutstanding employee stock options. The first campaign, The Future of Protein, was launched in 2015. Figure 5: Beyond Meats Revenue & Core Earnings Since 2017. Beyond Meat in midst of sales strategy revamp - WSJ Beyond Meat was one of the most successful IPOs (Initial Public Offerings) of 2019. For example, Tyson Food, one of the biggest and earliest investors in Beyond Meat, which had a 5% stake in 2016 exited in 2019. While Beyond Meats stock performance is attractive to many momentum traders, investors with fiduciary responsibilities should consider the deteriorating fundamentals, weak prospects to compete at the scale of its competition, and the unrealistic increase in profits implied by the current valuation. They exploit their established brand engagement to build more brand equity, at a low cost, because they dont pay a cent for restaurants to make this kind of indirect advertising for them. Beyond Meat Announces New Executive Leadership Appointments to This is one of the biggest first-day pop-ups in recent history. With a sound marketing strategy, Beyond Meat may be able to make its product cool again. Read the full post on my retail trends blog by clicking here. With a sound marketing strategy, Beyond Meat may be able to make its product cool again. We believe Beyond Meat Revenues have the potential to rise close to 2.7x from the level of $407 million in 2020 to $1.1 billion by 2023, representing a growth rate of roughly 40% per year (for context, the compounded annual growth rate was a very healthy at 164% between 2016 and 2019). Economic earnings, which account for the unusual items on the income statement and . Per Figure 6, Beyond Meats TTM adjusted EBITDA of $45 million is well above core earnings of $4 million. Leverage partners with larger platforms to expand reach. Even though the number of vegans and vegetarians was increasing in 2013 when the company launched its first products, the market for plant-based burgers was small: only 0.5% growth in this category. Impossible Foods, Beyond Meat battle to achieve price parity - CNBC With sharp growth in revenues, margins have increased from -89% in 2017 to -9.4% over the last twelve months. By constantly innovating, pivoting when necessary, and having a real eye for detail, in just under 10 years, Beyond Meat has become one of the biggest names in a previously unheard-of industry. Eating meat has long been associated with masculinity. The Impossible Foods start-up was founded in 2011 in California by Patrick O. If Beyond Meat can improve its NOPAT margin to 5% (equal to Tysons TTM margin) and grow revenue at 61% in 2020, 55% in 2021, and 47% in 2022 (consensus estimates) and by 20% compounded annually thereafter, the stock has significant downside risk. Moreover, the existing plant-based burgers had a disastrous reputation, they were ironically said to have as much flavor as the box they were in. Beyond Meat had to position itself as different from them as possible. However, this trend is expected to reverse in the short term and the company will once again get on its fast growth track and there are multiple trends that support this growth outlook. This Beyond Meat Burger in particular cooks like a burger and looks like one,saidJoe Wood, who was the mid-Atlantic meat coordinator for Whole Foods Market at the time. While the market hasnt liked this news, both the CEOs of Beyond Meat and McDonalds have stated that there isno changein the relationship between the two companies. The promises of Beyond Meats burgers: they produce 90% less greenhouse gas emissions and require 93% less land, 99% less water, and 46% less energy than a traditional beef patty. These expenses, and the need to maintain them to support Beyond Meats already declining growth, illustrate that the firm is not approaching economies of scale anytime soon. Competition Will Eat Beyond Meat Alive - Forbes There are several lessons to be learned from Beyond Meats story. Beyond Meat (NASDAQ: BYND) was founded in 2009 by Ethan Brown, a Californian entrepreneur with an interest in environmental topics, who is also a vegan. Beyond Meat Stock (NASDAQ:BYND): Looking Beyond the Headwinds Beyond Meat Inc. BYND, -7.36% is revamping its retail sales strategy to center on five major grocers and hiring a new marketing executive as part of an effort to reinvigorate the plant-based food . Create a great product. KFC and Beyond Meat are partnering with YouTube star and influencer Liza Koshy to help reveal the debut. These launches create a lot of buzz and put Beyond the Meat on the map. Consensus estimates expect revenue will grow 61% YoY in 2020, and just 17% YoY by 2025, per Figure 1. Figures 10 and 11 show what I think Kraft Heinz should pay for Beyond Meat to ensure it does not destroy shareholder value. Now, lets proudly assume what they are: a plant-based burger, extracting plant proteins to make a tasty and healthy burger. Figure 10 shows the implied values for BYND assuming Kraft Heinz wants to achieve an ROIC on the acquisition that equals its WACC of 4.4%. Digital Marketing @ Beyond Meat | Award-Winning Author | Driving Success Through Tech, Creativity, & Strategy Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States 631 followers 500+ connections Beyond Meat's Branding Helped Take Plant-Based Mainstream This adjustment represents 7% of Beyond Meats market cap. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. For reference, Beyond Meats TTM NOPAT margin is 2% and the TTM NOPAT margin of one of the largest food producers in the world, Tyson Foods, is 5%. Beyond Meat Has Completely Altered Its Go-to-Market Strategy But consumers shop there because the low price points allow them to have a constant rotation of outfits. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close. Beyond Meat Announces New Executive Leadership Appointments to Accelerate and Support the Company's Vision for Strategic Growth. Figure 9 compares the firms implied future NOPAT in this scenario to its historical NOPAT. As of 2020, the Beyond Meat company sells: Cookout Classic (10 plant-based burgers). Weve previously shown how linking executive compensation to faulty metrics such asadjusted EBITDAcan lead to the destruction of shareholder value. Instead, due to theproliferation of noise traders, the focus tends toward technical trading tends while high-quality fundamental research is overlooked. Beyond Meatis one of them for the plant-based segment. Investors are beginning to worry whether or not Beyond Meat will be able to sustain the $4 billion valuation in stock it currently has. Beyond Meat founder, Ethan Brown, understood the place of meat in the collective perception very early on. Eat What You Love In 2014 they developed their first simulated beef product and expanded their presence from 1,500 to 6,000 stores in the US. Nonetheless, Beyond Meat's earnings press release observed that the value packs, which hit grocery stores only in the last two weeks of the quarter, were responsible for 16 percentage points of volume growth for the entire period. Given that most plant-based protein products are now aiming for the same goal imitating the taste and texture of meat it stands to reason that as the plant-based protein market matures, differentiation between products will diminish as all products begin to taste more and more like meat. Figure 8: Current Valuation Implies Massive Revenue Growth, Significant Downside in a More Realistic Scenario. However, the fundamentals reveal this stock is more style than substance. Jurgens brings over 20 years of experience with a proven record of growing sales and profit through strategy, branding, marketing, operational excellence and innovative approaches. Their products are now sold in 17,000 grocery stores and 12,000 eateries. The mission of the company is focused on plant-based meat alternatives, using pea and other plant protein isolates. This would make growth in Beyond Meats stock price a real possibility in the next two years, taking its stock price to $200. word of mouth. With low margins and little control over the majority of distribution, I think shares can fall sharply from current levels. By shifting from animal to plant-based meat, we can positively affect the planet, the environment, the climate and even ourselves. When I use myreverse discounted cash flow (DCF) modelto analyze the expectations implied by the stock price, BYND appears significantly overvalued. Data by YCharts Kellogg ( K ) and Conagra ( CAG ) are already big established brands, that . Such high spending is not only unsustainable, but it also means Beyond Meats product must be more expensive than competitors products for the firm to turn a profit. Get the latest information and insights into the world of brand. If you do subscribe to our retail trends newsletter to get the latest retail insights & trends delivered to your inbox. Buy These 2 Stocks in 2023 and Hold for the Next Decade, 2 Growth Stocks to Buy Before the Big Bull Rally, Join Over Half a Million Premium Members And Get More In-Depth Stock Guidance and Research, Copyright, Trademark and Patent Information. Beyond Meat uses a robot to imitate the process of chewing. Competition- Beyond Meat has created competition by completing innovating meat and how meat is viewed. Over the TTM, Beyond Meat removed $23.7 million (6% of revenue) in share-based compensation and $7.5 million in restructuring expenses (2% of revenue) when calculating adjusted EBITDA. Still, it's clear that Brown's idea has caught on: The 10-year old company went public earlier this month at a $1.5 billion valuation. Beyond Meat is seeking a marketing, advertising, regulatory, and trademark attorney with 10-12 years of experience. Finally, innovation is another key element of success for Beyond Meat: if they are the leaders, lets not forget that it is also because their products are great, packed with plant-based proteins. With a market cap of over $9.6 billion, the stock now trades a little over 17x projected 2021 revenues, despite the fact that 2020 was the toughest year for the company due to the pandemic and it also missed analysts expectations for Q1 2021. our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. The company has a culture of accountability among its employees: they are all responsible for driving up performances by making suggestions, pointing out what is not working. Beyond Meats profitability ranks at the bottom of this peer group. Over the past twelve months, insiders have purchased 700 thousand shares and sold 4 million shares for a net effect of 3.3 million shares sold. Fourth Quarter 2021. But what if youre looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. Concentrating on the health market, they were able to target a broad range of people seeking a better meat option than real meat. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services. Part of this shift happened without much intervention by management, as consumption in restaurants and other institutional foodservice outlets has plummeted since the spring, while at-home consumption has soared. What can you learn from this? Invest better with The Motley Fool. Also, because of technology, people are becoming more and more informed about problems with big brands and the cancerous chemicals used in products for decades. Especially when competitors will try to introduce products that may be better than the original. This is a major strength: a high speed-to-market. Therefore, they have a lot of time and competitive advantage before others to create the most well-known category before all other competitors. Word of . We can spot changes in the design since their arrival. For this analysis, I choseKraft Heinz as a potential acquirer of Beyond Meat since it doesnt have a pea-protein based product like Beyond Meats and has a history of acquisitions. Plant-Based Food Companies Face Critics: Environmental Advocates This is a full-time position, reporting to the Chief Legal Officer. CEO and founder Ethan Brown understood that the target audience was not only vegetarians and vegans, but also flexitarians, or meat-eaters who occasionally want a healthier, high-quality option. Placing its hamburgers and breakfast proteins in major quick-service restaurant chains was a logical approach to igniting brand awareness. Moral of the story? Plant based meats are not filled with dead animals which include bacteria growth and can contain other substances such as feces. Beyond Meat - Corporate Counsel - IP, Marketing & Brand Management It sounds crazy, we know but its one of the reasons Beyond Meat's plant-based burgers have been so widely successful: they emulate real meat right down to the irresistible juiciness. Beyond Meat Is On Its Path To Irrelevance - SeekingAlpha Beyond Meat vs. Impossible Foods: The fight for market share in meat If youre always innovating and looking towards the future, youll rarely be caught off guard. The company's second-quarter 2020 earnings report, released Tuesday after the markets closed, revealed that it's still experiencing rampant growth.
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