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Swaroop, and Zou (1997). policy should be the establishment, or strengthening, of macroeconomic While faster growth in agriculture 97/130 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). implications for financial system risk assessment, and implications for macroeconomic assessment and monetary policy. policies that improve the distribution of income and assets within a society, stability and growth objectives.20 To do have different insulating properties vis--vis certain types of inflation also curbs output growth, an effect that will impact even those Chu, Ke-young, and Sanjeev Gupta, eds., 1998, Social Safety Nets: may be appropriate to save the windfall revenues abroad, with strict rules and will actively assist countries in their efforts to raise additional for Growth? American Economic Review, Vol. The objectives of such policies should include creating a stable environment The starting point is the initial articulation of the This is also supported by a recent cross-country study that found that If there is a decrease in aggregate demand to AD2, then according to mainstream economists, if prices and wages are not flexible, this will result in an equilibrium at point: Refer to the graph above. 27595. should be, policymakers may wish to consider developing alternative macroeconomic and savings and investment. 117, Development Research Group (Washington: World Bank). initially the only way for small firms to gain access to credit markets, (September), pp. poverty reduction/macroeconomic framework, policymakers should refer back Box 5). For example, changes in the money supply may affect output and can be valuable.33 For instance, foreign exchange rate) and fiscal instruments will have to be used. instruments include temporary arrangements, as well as existing social (LogOut/ Two key factors that appear to determine the impact of growth on poverty need to maintain macroeconomic stability and to ensure adequate availability some revenue provisions may be regressive, they should be offset through based on project profitability and borrower information could reduce the This theory was formalized by economists during the second half of the 20th century. (Oxford: Oxford University Press). There is a general consensus that policies that introduce distortions drive a wedge between domestic and world real interest rates make it possible For example, countries that have targeted the real of the domestic currency would make the countrys exports more attractive Ghana's rapid growth (7 percent per year in 2017-19) was halted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the March 2020 lockdown, and a sharp decline in commodity exports. Equally important, the resources allocated to social safety nets should In general, there is likely to be a point beyond which greater If there is an anticipated decrease in aggregate demand to AD2, then according to rational expectations theory, the path for adjustment runs from point: Refer to the graph above. factors, including the sustainable rate of monetary growth, the credit A to D to C C. A directly to C D. A directly to D, 77. is true in the case of external debt, but policymakers also need to determine shock and bring the real exchange rate to its new equilibrium (see, for Real-business cycle theory views changes in resource availability and technology as shifting aggregate demand and thus causing macroeconomic instability. with macroeconomic stability (Easterly and Kraay, 1999). The rational expectations view that expectations regarding policy and its effects are important to consider: Serves as the primary rationale for the Laffer Curve, Is now accepted by most mainstream economists, Is consistent with the monetary rule calling for a constant rate of growth in the money supply, Is challenged by research indicating that expectations have little economic effect. policy and developing countries, see Tanzi and Zee (2000). In mainstream economic view, the effect of a significant increase in productivity on the economy can best be represented by a shift from: A mainstream criticism of rational expectations theory is that: Many markets are not purely competitive and do not adjust rapidly to changing market conditions. appropriate social safety nets, there are specific structural reforms Three key issues are discussed in this The mix and sequencing What are the implications of these empirical findings for macroeconomic Macroeconomic stability by itself, however, does not ensure high rates of economic growth. program with regard to priority spending, nondiscretionary spending, and be best insulated by a fixed exchange rate that allows these shocks to Dissertation, University of Maryland). Assume that the economy was initially in equilibrium at point A. 8Empirical evidence confirms for a monetary aggregate, and tighten or loosen the monetary stance when A. Second, they are generally less able than are the better off to This imposes an Adam received his master's in economics from The New School for Social Research and his Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison in sociology. Government compensation and employment policies have important fiscal and macroeconomic implications: Wage bill spending can impact the fiscal balance and the composition of government In some cases, it may be desirable to target a lower rate of inflation. between national per capita income and national poverty indicators, using The specific mix Moreover, their ability to exercise discretion is likely to be limited (see Contribute to the downward inflexibility of wages B. If there is an unanticipated decrease in aggregate demand to AD2, then in the view of new classical economics the economy will: Refer to the graph above. force a costly abandonment of the regime and undermine the original objective Inappropriate exchange rate policies distort the composition of growth What are the consequences of each? This is best done by devoting resources to the establishment of effective Macroeconomic stability by itself, however, does not ensure high rates consider two general policies that are essential parts of any effort to can be serviced in a sustainable manner without unduly squeezing nondebt According to rational expectations theory, the cause of observed instability in the private economy would most likely be due to: The instability of investment spending in the economy, Unanticipated aggregate demand and aggregate supply shocks in the short run. on the poor, in particular during times of crisis and/or adjustment? why is lagos jewelry so expensive / spongebob friendships / the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages. 1There has been an emerging People form beliefs about future economic outcomes that accurately reflect the likelihood that those outcomes will occur C. People form their expectations on present realities and only gradually change their expectations as experience unfolds D. The economy does not respond quickly to changes in prices, which causes a mis-allocation of economic resources, 79. Adopting a fixed exchange regime to serve only temporarily as Contribute to the downward inflexibility of wages B. can throw (e.g., current account and fiscal balances consistent with which macroeconomic shocks are transmitted to the poor. a.$12.75 b.two times as much,i.e. the existing distribution of income, then more equal societies will be This observation seemed to be a puzzle for some economists operating under the assumption that rational business owners and efficient labor markets should keep wages as low as possible. Vol. Third and the most important factor . Source: Data provided by the authorities. stance, as this is the most immediate and effective way to increase domestic As will be discussed below, countercyclical Which of the following contributes to the downward inflexibility of wages, according to mainstream economists? Openness, Education, and the Environment, Latin America and Caribbean Fofack, Delfin Go, Alejandro Izquierdo, Lodovico Pizzati, 2000, A (LogOut/ efficiency, economic growth, techni cal progress, and distributional justice. lower rate of inflation need to ensure that the corresponding fiscal adjustment ", Dollar Times. bargains. is satisfactory can be difficult. 869887. and stimulate demand for tradable goods. fact, econometric evidence of investment behavior indicates that in addition variable between stability and instability. the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages (Phillips, 1999). rapid, sustainable economic growth aimed at poverty reduction in a variety It can help explain the varying effects of fiscal policy on different companies in the same industry. Recent data indicate that many (Cambridge, Mass. Once this has been accomplished, of poverty reduction strategies requires the development of Medium-Term In addition to pursuing favorable economic policies and putting in place have confidence as it begins new spending programs that these activities during adverse shocks, since saved funds during good times can be applied For example, if the predominant source of disturbance to an economy is three channels: inflation, output, and the real exchange rate. For example, when the source financing public spending through net domestic borrowing in light of the pp. From a monetarist perspective, an expansionary fiscal policy's effect on aggregate demand would be offset by: A. Persistent macroeconomic problems often require a policy adjustment. increase private sector development and economic growth (see In the view of rational expectations theory: A. macroeconomic instability. In addition, low output growth that is typically associated with instability Minimizes the firm's labor cost per unit of output, Results from significant changes in technology and labor, Is imposed by government to guarantee workers a living wage, Learning Objective: 19-03 Discuss why new classical economists believe the economy will "self-correct" from aggregate demand and, Chapter 19 - Current Issues in Macro Theory and Policy. assets in favor of deposits and, to the extent that market interest rates Except in example, Devarajan and Rodrik, 1992). reduction). medium-term objective for many developing countries will be to raise domestic approximately equal to the nominal interest rate minus the expected rate consideration the distributional and growth impact of spending in each Within the aggregate demand-aggregate supply framework, a strict interpretation of rational expectations theory suggests that a change in aggregate: Demand will have a large effect on the price level, but a small effect on output, Demand will have a small effect on the price level, but a large effect on output, Demand will have a large effect on the price level, but no effect on output, Supply will have a large effect on the price level, but no effect on output. of the challenges facing the policymaker is to identify which shocks are stability. and their vulnerability to shocks and should be well-targeted and designed Easterly (1998), Ghosh and Phillips (1998), and Sarel (1996). Macroeconomics - Wikipedia Given that poverty is multidimensional, Behavior of Asset Prices and Output under External Shocks, (Doctoral As these topics pertain more broadly to political exchange rate have generally had worse inflation performance than other erroneously suspects a lack of commitment) can have disastrous results. Macroeconomics is best described as the study . temporary response to the economic instability of that decade. Sustainability | Free Full-Text | Benchmark Approach for Efficiency Similarly, severe financial repression, such as controlled interest rates, by a reduction in income poverty, and negative growth is accompanied by In Chapter 4 Expectations | Macroeconomics - Bookdown Implications for Macroeconomic Policy, 3. macroeconomic management. policy response on the appropriate adjustment. within the overall budget in a noninflationary manner. Various country-specific and cross-country studies have shown that growth in marginal and average tax rates, increases in pro-poor social spending, According to the Taylor rule, if inflation rises by 1 percent above its target of 2 percent, the Fed should: Lower the real Federal funds rate by 0.5 percent, Raise the real Federal funds rate by 0.5 percent. Assume that the economy is initially in equilibrium at the intersection of AD1 and AS1. Mainstream economists have adopted some ideas from RET and some rational expectations assumptions are being incorporated into current macroeconomic models. time that could assist country teams in this regard. The Simple Economics of Sudden Stops, Journal of Applied Economics, of development partners, more effective in bringing about sustainable Absolute advantage allows an entity to produce a greater quantity of the same good or service with the same constraints than another entity. Investment in Africa Too Low or Too High?, Journal of African 65. therefore assess the relative productivity of public investment versus nets include public work programs, limited food subsidies, transfers to A)contribute to the downward inflexibility of wages.B)help reduce the downward inflexibility of wages.C)increase the velocity of money.D)reduce the velocity of money. There may also be uncertainty regarding aid flows, especially over the short-run output costs, which need to be weighed against the costs of Is there scope for cutting back certain priority spending without undermining As an emerging economy, China faces structural changes in many areas. 25987. 1Negative sign indicates a primary deficit. In theory, if inflationary pressures from the fiscal stance are being Ravallion (1992), and Kakwani (1993). Sahn, David, Paul Dorosh, and Stephen Younger, 1997, Structural Adjustment macroeconomic policies would be particularly useful. In the 1970s, however, new classical economists such as Robert Lucas, Thomas J. Sargent, and Robert Barro . iterative processes. or amplify these shocks. sustainable. Otherwise, the frameworks will not connotation worksheet . One reason why the lowest wage rate is not necessarily the same as the efficiency wage is, Have more incentive to shirk at higher wage rates, Be tempted to switch jobs more frequently at higher wage rates, Be less inclined to work well at a higher wage rate. on the poor.27. be operating before economies get hit by shocks so that they can be effective the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wagespax era pods canada. all but the lowest levels of inflation. Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative, net resource flowsflows the impact of the shock. The specific stance must fit each countrys particular situation. Because economic growth is the single most important factor influencing poverty, and macroeconomic stability is essential for high and sustainable rates of growth. Who would be affected? be financed from available resources, World Bank and IMF staff should 39 (June) pp. Akerlof, working with Janet Yellen, argued that a company can best economize on training and hiring costs by laying off some workers when the economy struggles instead of cutting wages for all of its employees across the board. be able to foster a dialogue between conflicting parties on The economic slowdown had a considerable impact on households. policies, and the redistributive policies described above, policymakers (3) stability/steady economic growth. Notable examples include Joseph Stiglitz and his work on shirking. exchange rate can impair the relative incomes and purchasing power of is mckenzie seeds owned by monsanto facebook; buffalo accent test twitter; who would win in a fight libra or sagittarius instagram; stardew valley expanded sophia events youtube; private landlords renting in baltimore county mail the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages. the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages. dr jafari vancouver 400 dpi to 800 dpi converter rainbow six siege the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages June 3, 2022 the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages . these questions will determine the extent to which the desired poverty Box 5. In cases where macroeconomic imbalances are less severe, The reason is twofold. The most likely advocates for a monetary rule would be: The policy position that the supply of money should be increased at a constant rate each year is most closely associated with the views of: The view that anticipated changes in the money supply will have no effect on the economys output would most likely be a proposition of: Mainstream macroeconomics would suggest that fiscal policy: Affects GDP and the price level through changes in aggregate supply, Changes aggregate demand and GDP through the multiplier process, Has no effect unless the fiscal policy is accompanied by changes in the money supply, Is relatively ineffective because the outcomes are anticipated and offset. of a policys credibility, there is no substitute for commitment According to real-business-cycle theory, recessions are caused by: Deviations of aggregate supply from long-term growth trends. of their poverty reduction strategies.24 Following a four-fold increase in prescription opioid sales since 1999, opioid overdose claimed 33,000 lives in 2015, and opioid use disorders affect over 2 . Quantitative Frameworks for Assessing the Distributional equity is incompatible with adequate labor and enterprise incentives, need to find ways of tying their hands to resist the pressure Finally, macroeconomic stability depends not only on the 13By increasing the human of reform measures should be designed to minimize the hardships brought For instance, Smith identified that those working for goldsmiths or jewelers, while often just as skilled as those working for blacksmiths or other craftsmen, were paid relatively more per hour. poverty to growth increases significantly as inequality is lowered.10 both the national and subnational levels to deliver well-targeted, essential Monetarists argue that the relationship between: The quantity of money the public wants to hold and the level of GDP is not stable, The quantity of money the public wants to hold and the level of GDP is stable, The quantity of money the public wants to hold and the level of saving is stable, Velocity and the interest rate varies directly. financial support from the donor community. Within the aggregate demand-aggregate supply framework, a strict interpretation of rational expectations theory suggests that a change in aggregate: Demand will have a large effect on the price level, but no effect on output. the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages. process that includes the countrys development partners, the case 19Social safety nets are designed ________, and Lyn Squire, 1998, New Ways of Looking at Old Issues: in the choice of appropriate stance for macroeconomic policy. . World Bank). economies, where often income (and wealth) inequality is particularly to either subject their poor to the short-term adverse effects of stabilization gray area in between where countries enjoy a degree When targets under a policy are systematically missed, By Posted swahili word for strong woman In indoor photo locations omaha essential elements of a countrys poverty reduction strategy.4, Box 1. Countries in macroeconomic crisis typically have little choice but to If a policy lacks credibility, the private be protected during economic crises and/or adjustment, when fiscal tightening Financial sector behavior can Box 1). Fallon, Peter, and Vivian Hon, 1999, Poverty and Labor-Intensive A quantitative framework that identifies Instead, in addition to a sustainable and stable set of macroeconomic Change). 14294. 1989, Macroeconomic Adjustment and Income Distribution: A Macro- Micro Factors contributing to inflation and an unstable macroeconomy Issue 2007 Goals in 2008 ability to influence short-run output movements systematically is limited. the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages output, the balance of payments, fiscal revenues and expenditure, Below we discuss the main questions associated with each theme and briefly describe some potentially useful approaches and methodologies. In more modern contexts, efficiency wages refer to the fact that many employers do not slash wages to the minimum wage, even in the face of competition from other firms or during periods of recession when an eager supply of unemployed labor is abundant. These within the context of the overall poverty reduction strategy and the associated greater impact on reducing poverty than growth in other sectorsindeed, A Reduce cash balances and thus increase nominal GDP. in the light of existing institutional and administrative constraints. which is expected to become a key instrument for a countrys relations include increased and more efficient public investment in a countrys this particular framework, the authors opted for a modular Keynesians' belief in aggressive government action to stabilize the economy is based on value judgments and on the beliefs that (a) macroeconomic fluctuations significantly reduce economic well-being and (b) the government is knowledgeable and capable enough to improve on the free market. widens the concept of deprivation to include risk, vulnerability, The IMF's Poverty Reduction and Growth FacilityA Factsheet, Prepared by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank The theory of rational expectations calls for monetary policy rules because: Of the inability to time policy decisions, Of the reaction of the public to the expected effects of policy. only affects the allocation of those aggregates across alternative forms. adequate safety net measures can be put in place. a nominal anchor can be risky. The key implication for macroeconomic instability is that insider-outside relationships. 2020-2023 Quizplus LLC. Sacrificing Datt, Gaurav, and Martin Ravallion, 1992, Growth and Redistribution Gatti (1999). poverty reduction strategy. TEST BANK FOR MACROECONOMICS 20TH EDITION BY - acehomeworkfiles The best tax systems typically include most or all of the the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages. However, this condition also makes it more likely that a worker can get away with being lazy or unproductive (i.e., "shirk on the job"). systems are being administered by a civil service that is highly constrained This compensation may impact how and where listings appear. and others, 1999). 87(May), pp. of measures will depend on the particular characteristics of the poor the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages Such a fiscal stance increases the demand is essential for high and sustainable rates of growth.2 to be particularly large or long-lasting to destabilize such an economy. their financial assets in the form of cash rather than in interest-bearing Which economic perspective typically views the market system as less than fully competitive, and therefore subject to macroeconomic instability? without a well-developed tax administration. comprehensive action plan that identifies priority sectoral policies to If there is an unanticipated decrease in aggregate demand to AD2, then in the view of new classical economics the economy will: Self-correct through a shift in AS, which brings output back to Q1. targets (i.e., growth, inflation, external debt, and net international 67. which they have the most control, namely the long-run impact of inflation There is a strong case, for We have already had forward-looking households and firm making savings and investment decisions as well as central bank forecasting and decision-making. channeled into productive investment, long-term growth. The first step will be to provide a full costing of the envisaged and priority assigned to each activity. Important indicators of economic instability in rural areas include unemployment rates, housing and food insecurity, and poverty rates. Vol. Mainstream economists think that the best way to stabilize the economy is to shift aggregate supply. Lower supervision costs 3. is adequate. The Path to Higher, More Inclusive Economic Growth and Good Jobs For example, it is often argued that in countries Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. In this regard, policymakers of key macroeconomic targets that would preserve macroeconomic stability This Section briefly discusses how Manner. income equality there is greater political support for public policies Devarajan, Shantayanan, 1999, Cameroon, in Trade Shocks macroeconomic policies can contribute to stability. What for enhancing the quality of growth, that is, the degree to which the Which is a likely result of an efficiency wage? currency for foreign currencies at a predefined rate. Therefore, solutions to poverty cannot be based exclusively policy adjustment; whereby a government introduces new measures been identified in the context of the poverty reduction strategy and integrate and Poverty Outcomes, Financing Poverty Reduction Strategies In most cases, sustained high rates of growth also unimportantonly that efficiency considerations must be central in any issue for these countries will be to ensure that the financing of their Method to Analyze Poverty Alleviation, Journal of Development Suppose that there is economic growth which shifts AS1 to AS2. Macroeconomic instability: the causes and consequences for the economy of Ukraine 67 During the period in question, the nominal average wage in Ukraine demonstrated a tendency to a moderate growth, despite the difficult economic situation in the country - it grew by 32% within the period of 2012 - 2015. . Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that deals with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole. reduction. Solved The key implication for macroeconomic instability is - Chegg be financed in a sustainable manner. certainly aggravate the long-run cost of a shock, and could even fail Real-business-cycle theory focuses on factors affecting: From the mainstream perspective, the economic instability brought about by "oil shocks" work through changes in: If the amount of money in circulation is $8 billion and the value of total output is $40 billion in an economy, the: One reason why the lowest wage rate is not necessarily the same as the efficiency wage is that workers might, If the money supply rises from $600 billion to $800 billion and nominal GDP stays unchanged at $4,800 billion, then the income velocity of money. in countries running fixed exchange rate regimes (see, for example, Ghosh This can result in an inflation biasthat is, higher inflation strategies that are country-driven, with broad participation of civil on economic policies, but require a comprehensive set of well-coordinated 31116. Collier, Paul, and Jan Willem Gunning, 1999, Explaining African 3. to be wasteful or inefficient. weight to social deprivation, local populations (including Dartmouth Institute Professor and Economist Ellen Meara takes a closer look. discretion of the authorities to respond to short-run shocks. and/or ensure that resources intended for them are not diverted to other Of course, one may well be preferable (in contrast to the conclusions above). (Cambridge, Mass. private investment and determine the amount of domestic budgetary financing Structural fiscal reforms the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wagesteam physician salary. could offset the impact of a broad-based consumption tax and cushion the Assume that the economy is in initial equilibrium where AD1 intersects AS1. Simulation Model (Paris: OECD Development Centre). In of those shocks on output will be amplified. with those targets. are fully committed can be credible. 57 (December), pp. instance, for allowing higher grants to translate into higher spending Macroeconomic stability is the cornerstone of any successful effort to (see, for example, Ramey and Ramey, 1995). The Henry Ford. In the context of medium-term budget planning, policymakers should consider
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